Predicting comet brightness is difficult at best. There have been many flops in the last few decades (some will remember – or not – comet Kohoutek in 1973-74 which was then called the “Comet of the Century”). However, even though recent data suggests ISON will not be as bright as originally predicted it should still be visible to the naked eye and sport an easily identifiable tail.
Although not visible to the naked eye in October, those with binoculars or small telescopes should be able to pick up ISON as it heads closer and closer to the Sun. A good time to look is early in the morning on October 15 when ISON passes just 1° north of Mars in the constellation of Leo the Lion. It makes the leftmost point of a line created by Mars and Regulus, about 1° between each. The comet will be dim, about magnitude 9, but patient observers should be able pick her out. It's unlikely that you will be able to see any tail, but a fuzzy spot should be apparent.
ISON in the east, October 15, 2013 5:00 AM About 22° above the horizon |
As seen in a typical pair of 10x50 binoculars |